Economic calendar: October 2026

Releases older than the calendar's own window are shown from PTM's briefs, at the release's usual time. Release dates from each agency's official calendar; impact is PTM's rating. All months.

Thursday, October 1

Morning Rundown: PCE cooled. The 10-year still hit 5.35%

08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:00 ET: USD Construction spending (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
10:00 ET: USD Fed Governor Waller speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
10:00 ET: USD ISM manufacturing PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), high impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
13:30 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair Jefferson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
15:00 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
15:30 ET: USD Fed Governor Cook speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook

Friday, October 2

Morning Rundown: Payrolls decide October. Crude gives back $3

05:00 ET: EUR Euro area flash inflation (HICP) (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook
08:30 ET: USD Employment Situation (non-farm payrolls), high impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:00 ET: USD Factory orders (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook

Monday, October 5

Morning Rundown: Euro breaks to a new low. Futures shrug off Aramco

10:00 ET: USD ISM services PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), high impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook

Tuesday, October 6

Morning Rundown: Brent drops under $100. Yields ease off 2002 highs

08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
08:30 ET: USD Trade balance (goods and services) (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:45 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook

Wednesday, October 7

Morning Rundown: Brent back over $100. Yields and the dollar follow

07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact: actual -3.2 mb (Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration) (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
13:00 ET: USD 10-year note auction, medium impact (publisher) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
14:00 ET: USD FOMC minutes (meeting of September 15-16), high impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook

Thursday, October 8

Morning Rundown: Oil jumps 5% as Iran strike talk meets a hurricane

04:30 ET: USD Fed Governor Waller speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:00 ET: USD Wholesale inventories (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact: actual +85 bcf (Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration) (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook

Friday, October 9

Morning Rundown: No Iran strikes before the vote. Chips bounce back

06:15 ET: EUR ECB's Cipollone speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
08:30 ET: CAD Canada Labour Force Survey (September 2026), high impact: actual -68.3k, previous -41.7k (Adapted from Statistics Canada, Labour Force Survey, monthly, seasonally adjusted (table 14-10-0287-01). This does not constitute an endorsement by Statistics Canada of this product.) (official calendar) · playbook
09:30 ET: EUR ECB's Schnabel speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
10:00 ET: USD University of Michigan consumer sentiment, medium impact (publisher) · PTM's breakdown · playbook
12:00 ET: USD WASDE (USDA supply and demand), high impact (official calendar) · playbook

Monday, October 12

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 1 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
12:50 ET: USD Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook

Tuesday, October 13

Morning Rundown: Goldman lifts YM. Memory chips sink NQ

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 2 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
03:15 ET: EUR ECB's Elderson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
03:45 ET: USD Fed Governor Waller speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
about 06:00 ET: USD NFIB small business optimism (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Small firms employ much of the private workforce, and the survey's hiring and price questions are early reads on both.
08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
10:00 ET: USD Existing home sales (NAR) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Resales are most of the US housing market, and the median price and supply figures show how affordability is holding.
14:30 ET: EUR ECB's Lane speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
16:00 ET: USD Boston Fed President Collins speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Presidents sit on the FOMC and vote in rotation, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
22:10 ET: EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.

Wednesday, October 14

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 3 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
04:00 ET: EUR ECB's Elderson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
04:15 ET: EUR ECB's Buch speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
04:30 ET: EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
05:40 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
08:30 ET: USD CPI, high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Fed's decisions turn on whether inflation is moving back to 2%, and CPI is the first broad read on that each month.
12:15 ET: EUR ECB's Schnabel speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
20:30 ET: AUD Australia labour force (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Employment and unemployment are central to the RBA's read on the economy.
22:45 ET: EUR ECB's Buch speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
22:55 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
time to be announced: CAD BoC Governor Macklem speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Thursday, October 15

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 4 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
02:00 ET: GBP UK monthly GDP (August 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the monthly read on UK output, used to gauge growth between quarterly estimates.
08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
08:30 ET: USD Empire State manufacturing survey, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first manufacturing survey of the month, so it is the earliest read on factory conditions and prices paid.
08:30 ET: USD Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook With Empire State, it gives an early read on factories each month before the national surveys.
08:30 ET: USD PPI, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It shows price pressure earlier in the supply chain, and several of its components feed directly into PCE, the Fed's target measure.
08:30 ET: USD Retail sales (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Consumer spending is the largest part of US GDP, and this is the earliest monthly read on it.
10:00 ET: USD Business inventories (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It completes the month's inventory picture across manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers, an input to GDP.
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.
12:00 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories) (holiday schedule), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.
16:30 ET: USD Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Presidents sit on the FOMC and vote in rotation, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
23:30 ET: USD Fed Chair Warsh speaks, high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Chair speaks for the Committee's consensus, so remarks on the outlook are read as guidance on the path of rates.
time to be announced: CAD BoC's Rogers speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Friday, October 16

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 5 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
08:30 ET: USD Import and export prices, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Prices of imported goods feed into what consumers and firms pay, and show the effect of the dollar and tariffs on them.
09:15 ET: USD Industrial production, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the Fed's own measure of factory, mining and utility output, with capacity utilization alongside.
time to be announced: CAD BoC's Alexopoulos speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.
time to be announced: CAD BoC Governor Macklem speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Saturday, October 17

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 6 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.

Sunday, October 18

time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 7 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.

Monday, October 19

08:30 ET: CAD Canada CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Bank of Canada's 2% target is set on CPI, and its preferred core measures come out with it.

Tuesday, October 20

02:00 ET: GBP UK labour market (June to August 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Pay growth and unemployment are central to the Bank's read on domestic inflation pressure.
08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
08:30 ET: USD Housing starts and building permits (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Housing is among the most rate-sensitive parts of the economy, and permits show what builders plan next.
10:00 ET: USD Pending home sales (NAR) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Contracts close one to two months later, so the index is an early read on existing home sales.

Wednesday, October 21

02:00 ET: GBP UK CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Bank of England targets CPI at 2%, so this is the measure its decisions are judged against.
07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.

Thursday, October 22

08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
10:00 ET: USD Conference Board leading economic index (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is built to turn before the wider economy, so its six-month change is read as a gauge of slowdown risk.
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.

Friday, October 23

08:30 ET: CAD Canada retail trade (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the main monthly read on Canadian consumer spending.
09:45 ET: USD S&P Global flash US PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first read on the month's manufacturing and services activity, out before the month ends.
10:00 ET: USD University of Michigan consumer sentiment (Final October; release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It includes households' own inflation expectations, which the Fed watches for signs that expectations are drifting.

Tuesday, October 27

08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
08:30 ET: USD Durable goods orders (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Orders for durable goods, core capital goods above all, are an early read on business investment.
09:00 ET: USD S&P Cotality Case-Shiller home prices (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the benchmark index of US home prices with the deepest history, which feed into household wealth and shelter costs.
09:00 ET: USD FHFA house price index, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook House prices feed into household wealth and, with a lag, into the shelter costs inside the inflation measures.
10:00 ET: USD Conference Board consumer confidence (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It shows how households rate the job market and their own prospects, an input to the outlook for spending.
10:00 ET: USD New home sales (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Sales of newly built homes respond quickly to mortgage rates, and the report carries prices and supply alongside.
20:30 ET: AUD Australia CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The RBA's target is set on CPI, and the trimmed mean is its preferred underlying measure.
21:00 ET: NZD RBNZ rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the Official Cash Rate, the main policy lever behind the New Zealand dollar.

Wednesday, October 28

07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
08:30 ET: USD Advance goods trade and inventories (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It arrives weeks before the full trade and inventory reports, so forecasters use it to update their GDP estimates for the quarter.
09:45 ET: CAD Bank of Canada rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the overnight rate, the base for Canadian borrowing costs and the main policy lever behind the Canadian dollar.
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.
14:00 ET: USD FOMC rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the price of overnight money in dollars, the rate every other US borrowing cost and the dollar's yield are measured against.

Thursday, October 29

08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
08:30 ET: USD GDP (advance) (3rd Quarter 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first full picture of how fast the economy grew last quarter, the estimate later releases revise.
08:30 ET: USD Personal income and outlays (PCE) (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Fed's 2% goal is written in PCE prices, so this is the inflation number the Committee itself quotes.
09:15 ET: EUR ECB rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the deposit rate for the euro area, the main policy lever behind the euro.
10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.
about 23:00 ET: JPY Bank of Japan rate decision (with Outlook Report), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets Japan's short-term policy rate and its bond purchases, the main policy levers behind the yen.

Friday, October 30

06:00 ET: EUR Euro area flash GDP (Q3/2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first estimate of euro-area growth for the quarter.
08:30 ET: CAD Canada GDP by industry (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the monthly read on Canadian output, with an advance estimate for the month after.
08:30 ET: USD Employment Cost Index, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the broadest measure of labour costs and adjusts for shifts in the mix of jobs, so the Fed reads it for wage pressure.
09:45 ET: USD Chicago PMI (business barometer) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It closes each month's run of regional surveys the day before ISM's national report.