Release playbooks
One page for every release and central-bank event on PTM's economic calendar.
- FOMC rate decision (USD, high impact)
- FOMC minutes (USD, high impact)
- Fed Chair speaks (USD, high impact)
- Fed Board speaker (USD, medium impact)
- CPI (USD, high impact)
- Employment Situation (non-farm payrolls) (USD, high impact)
- PPI (USD, medium impact)
- Personal income and outlays (PCE) (USD, high impact)
- GDP (advance) (USD, high impact)
- GDP (USD, medium impact)
- Retail sales (USD, high impact)
- Durable goods orders (USD, medium impact)
- JOLTS job openings (USD, medium impact)
- Employment Cost Index (USD, medium impact)
- Initial jobless claims (USD, medium impact)
- Trade balance (goods and services) (USD, medium impact)
- Advance goods trade and inventories (USD, medium impact)
- Wholesale inventories (USD, medium impact)
- Business inventories (USD, medium impact)
- Factory orders (USD, medium impact)
- Construction spending (USD, medium impact)
- Housing starts and building permits (USD, medium impact)
- New home sales (USD, medium impact)
- Import and export prices (USD, medium impact)
- Productivity and unit labour costs (USD, medium impact)
- Current account (international transactions) (USD, medium impact)
- Industrial production (USD, medium impact)
- Empire State manufacturing survey (USD, medium impact)
- Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey (USD, medium impact)
- 10-year note auction (USD, medium impact)
- 30-year bond auction (USD, medium impact)
- Treasury coupon auction (USD, medium impact)
- ISM manufacturing PMI (USD, high impact)
- ISM services PMI (USD, high impact)
- ADP National Employment Report (USD, medium impact)
- ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (USD, medium impact)
- University of Michigan consumer sentiment (USD, medium impact)
- EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories) (USD, high impact)
- EIA weekly natural gas storage (USD, high impact)
- WASDE (USDA supply and demand) (USD, high impact)
- ECB rate decision (EUR, high impact)
- Euro area flash inflation (HICP) (EUR, high impact)
- Euro area flash GDP (EUR, medium impact)
- ECB Executive Board speaker (EUR, medium impact)
- Bank of England rate decision (GBP, high impact)
- UK CPI (GBP, high impact)
- UK labour market (GBP, high impact)
- UK monthly GDP (GBP, medium impact)
- BoE Governor speaks (GBP, high impact)
- Bank of England speaker (GBP, medium impact)
- Bank of Japan rate decision (JPY, high impact)
- RBNZ rate decision (NZD, high impact)
- SNB rate decision (CHF, high impact)
- Bank of Canada rate decision (CAD, high impact)
- Canada CPI (CAD, high impact)
- Canada Labour Force Survey (CAD, high impact)
- Canada GDP by industry (CAD, medium impact)
- Canada retail trade (CAD, medium impact)
- Bank of Canada speaker (CAD, medium impact)
- RBA rate decision (AUD, high impact)
- Australia CPI (AUD, high impact)
- Australia labour force (AUD, high impact)
- Australia GDP (national accounts) (AUD, medium impact)
How these figures are measured
Some playbooks show how large release days have been: the New York session (09:30 to 16:00 ET) on release days compared with matched days without the release, in the same market, on the same weekday and in the same band of recent activity. The study was set out in advance, built on 2009 to 2018 and checked once on 2019 to 2026; only results that held are shown, using the 2019 to 2026 figures rounded down to one decimal. Releases the study did not test, or did not pass, show no figure. Size only, never direction: a measured tendency, not a promise.