Economic calendar

The releases and central-bank events that move index futures and the majors, this week and next, and PTM's breakdown of each one we cover. Every date comes from the agency that sets it. Release dates from each agency's official calendar; impact is PTM's rating. Agencies publish no forecasts, so none are shown.

Archive · Release playbooks

Monday, October 12

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 1 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook
• 12:50 ET: USD Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook

Tuesday, October 13

Morning Rundown: Goldman lifts YM. Memory chips sink NQ

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 2 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
• 03:15 ET: EUR ECB's Elderson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 03:45 ET: USD Fed Governor Waller speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
• about 06:00 ET: USD NFIB small business optimism (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Small firms employ much of the private workforce, and the survey's hiring and price questions are early reads on both.
• 08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
• 10:00 ET: USD Existing home sales (NAR) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · PTM's breakdown · playbook Resales are most of the US housing market, and the median price and supply figures show how affordability is holding.
• 14:30 ET: EUR ECB's Lane speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 16:00 ET: USD Boston Fed President Collins speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Presidents sit on the FOMC and vote in rotation, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
• 22:10 ET: EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.

Wednesday, October 14

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 3 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
• 04:00 ET: EUR ECB's Elderson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 04:15 ET: EUR ECB's Buch speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 04:30 ET: EUR ECB President Lagarde speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 05:40 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
• 07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
• 08:30 ET: USD CPI, high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Fed's decisions turn on whether inflation is moving back to 2%, and CPI is the first broad read on that each month.
• 12:15 ET: EUR ECB's Schnabel speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 20:30 ET: AUD Australia labour force (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Employment and unemployment are central to the RBA's read on the economy.
• 22:45 ET: EUR ECB's Buch speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
• 22:55 ET: USD Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Bowman speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Board members vote at every meeting, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
• time to be announced: CAD BoC Governor Macklem speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Thursday, October 15

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 4 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
• 02:00 ET: GBP UK monthly GDP (August 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the monthly read on UK output, used to gauge growth between quarterly estimates.
• 08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
• 08:30 ET: USD Empire State manufacturing survey, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first manufacturing survey of the month, so it is the earliest read on factory conditions and prices paid.
• 08:30 ET: USD Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook With Empire State, it gives an early read on factories each month before the national surveys.
• 08:30 ET: USD PPI, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It shows price pressure earlier in the supply chain, and several of its components feed directly into PCE, the Fed's target measure.
• 08:30 ET: USD Retail sales (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Consumer spending is the largest part of US GDP, and this is the earliest monthly read on it.
• 10:00 ET: USD Business inventories (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It completes the month's inventory picture across manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers, an input to GDP.
• 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.
• 12:00 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories) (holiday schedule), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.
• 16:30 ET: USD Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Presidents sit on the FOMC and vote in rotation, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
• 23:30 ET: USD Fed Chair Warsh speaks, high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Chair speaks for the Committee's consensus, so remarks on the outlook are read as guidance on the path of rates.
• time to be announced: CAD BoC's Rogers speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Friday, October 16

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 5 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.
• 08:30 ET: USD Import and export prices, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Prices of imported goods feed into what consumers and firms pay, and show the effect of the dollar and tariffs on them.
• 09:15 ET: USD Industrial production, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the Fed's own measure of factory, mining and utility output, with capacity utilization alongside.
• time to be announced: CAD BoC's Alexopoulos speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.
• time to be announced: CAD BoC Governor Macklem speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook The Governor and Deputy Governors speak for the Bank, so remarks are read for the outlook on rates.

Saturday, October 17

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 6 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.

Sunday, October 18

• time to be announced: ALL IMF and World Bank Annual Meetings (Bangkok), day 7 of 7 (Dates from the IMF's published schedule), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Officials' comments and the IMF's growth and inflation forecasts can shift how the global outlook is read during the week.

Monday, October 19

• 08:30 ET: CAD Canada CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Bank of Canada's 2% target is set on CPI, and its preferred core measures come out with it.

Tuesday, October 20

• 02:00 ET: GBP UK labour market (June to August 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Pay growth and unemployment are central to the Bank's read on domestic inflation pressure.
• 08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
• 08:30 ET: USD Housing starts and building permits (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Housing is among the most rate-sensitive parts of the economy, and permits show what builders plan next.
• 10:00 ET: USD Pending home sales (NAR) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Contracts close one to two months later, so the index is an early read on existing home sales.

Wednesday, October 21

• 02:00 ET: GBP UK CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Bank of England targets CPI at 2%, so this is the measure its decisions are judged against.
• 07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
• 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.

Thursday, October 22

• 08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
• 10:00 ET: USD Conference Board leading economic index (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is built to turn before the wider economy, so its six-month change is read as a gauge of slowdown risk.
• 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.

Friday, October 23

• 08:30 ET: CAD Canada retail trade (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the main monthly read on Canadian consumer spending.
• 09:45 ET: USD S&P Global flash US PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first read on the month's manufacturing and services activity, out before the month ends.
• 10:00 ET: USD University of Michigan consumer sentiment (Final October; release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It includes households' own inflation expectations, which the Fed watches for signs that expectations are drifting.