Economic calendar
The releases and central-bank events that move index futures and the majors, this week and next, and PTM's breakdown of each one we cover. Every date comes from the agency that sets it. Release dates from each agency's official calendar; impact is PTM's rating. Agencies publish no forecasts, so none are shown.
Monday, October 26
- 02:00 ET: EUR ECB's Elderson speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
Tuesday, October 27
- 08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
- 08:30 ET: USD Durable goods orders (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Orders for durable goods, core capital goods above all, are an early read on business investment.
- 09:00 ET: USD S&P Cotality Case-Shiller home prices (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the benchmark index of US home prices with the deepest history, which feed into household wealth and shelter costs.
- 09:00 ET: USD FHFA house price index, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook House prices feed into household wealth and, with a lag, into the shelter costs inside the inflation measures.
- 10:00 ET: USD Conference Board consumer confidence (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It shows how households rate the job market and their own prospects, an input to the outlook for spending.
- 10:00 ET: USD New home sales (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Sales of newly built homes respond quickly to mortgage rates, and the report carries prices and supply alongside.
- 20:30 ET: AUD Australia CPI (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The RBA's target is set on CPI, and the trimmed mean is its preferred underlying measure.
- 21:00 ET: NZD RBNZ rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the Official Cash Rate, the main policy lever behind the New Zealand dollar.
Wednesday, October 28
- 07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
- 08:30 ET: USD Advance goods trade and inventories (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It arrives weeks before the full trade and inventory reports, so forecasters use it to update their GDP estimates for the quarter.
- 09:45 ET: CAD Bank of Canada rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the overnight rate, the base for Canadian borrowing costs and the main policy lever behind the Canadian dollar.
- 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.
- 14:00 ET: USD FOMC rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the price of overnight money in dollars, the rate every other US borrowing cost and the dollar's yield are measured against.
Thursday, October 29
- 08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
- 08:30 ET: USD GDP (advance) (3rd Quarter 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first full picture of how fast the economy grew last quarter, the estimate later releases revise.
- 08:30 ET: USD Personal income and outlays (PCE) (September 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook The Fed's 2% goal is written in PCE prices, so this is the inflation number the Committee itself quotes.
- 09:15 ET: EUR ECB rate decision, high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the deposit rate for the euro area, the main policy lever behind the euro.
- 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.
- 11:50 ET: EUR ECB's Cipollone speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
- about 23:00 ET: JPY Bank of Japan rate decision (with Outlook Report), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets Japan's short-term policy rate and its bond purchases, the main policy levers behind the yen.
Friday, October 30
- 06:00 ET: EUR Euro area flash GDP (Q3/2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first estimate of euro-area growth for the quarter.
- 08:30 ET: CAD Canada GDP by industry (August 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the monthly read on Canadian output, with an advance estimate for the month after.
- 08:30 ET: USD Employment Cost Index, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the broadest measure of labour costs and adjusts for shifts in the mix of jobs, so the Fed reads it for wage pressure.
- 09:45 ET: USD Chicago PMI (business barometer) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It closes each month's run of regional surveys the day before ISM's national report.
- 12:10 ET: EUR ECB's Lane speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Executive Board members shape the ECB's policy, so their remarks between meetings are read for the outlook.
Monday, November 2
- 09:45 ET: USD S&P Global final US PMI (manufacturing; release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It confirms or revises the flash readings and is read alongside ISM's reports on the same mornings.
- 10:00 ET: USD Construction spending (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It covers residential, commercial and public building, an input to the investment part of GDP.
- 10:00 ET: USD ISM manufacturing PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first national read on manufacturing each month, and its prices and employment indexes are read alongside the headline.
- 22:30 ET: AUD RBA rate decision (with Statement on Monetary Policy), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets the cash rate target, the main policy lever behind the Australian dollar.
Tuesday, November 3
- 08:15 ET: USD ADP weekly employment (NER Pulse) (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It is a weekly read on private hiring between the monthly reports.
- 10:00 ET: USD Factory orders (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It adds non-durable orders and revisions to the durable goods report, a broader read on demand for manufactured goods.
- 10:00 ET: USD JOLTS job openings, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Openings, hires, quits and layoffs show how tight the labour market is beneath the payrolls number.
Wednesday, November 4
- 05:00 ET: EUR Euro area flash inflation (HICP) (October 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the first read on euro-area inflation for the month, the measure the ECB targets.
- 07:00 ET: USD MBA mortgage applications (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Refinancing and purchase demand respond within days to mortgage rates, so it is the most frequent read on housing demand.
- 08:15 ET: USD ADP National Employment Report (release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It arrives two days before the official jobs report, built from payroll records rather than a survey.
- 08:30 ET: USD Trade balance (goods and services) (September 2026), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Net exports feed into GDP, and the import and export lines show demand at home and abroad.
- 09:45 ET: USD S&P Global final US PMI (services; release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It confirms or revises the flash readings and is read alongside ISM's reports on the same mornings.
- 10:00 ET: USD ISM services PMI (release date only; figures are the publisher's), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Services are most of the US economy, and its prices index is read as an early sign of services inflation.
- 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly petroleum status (crude inventories), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the official weekly count of US crude and fuel stocks, the supply picture energy markets work from.
Thursday, November 5
- 07:00 ET: GBP Bank of England rate decision (with Monetary Policy Report), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It sets Bank Rate, the base for UK borrowing costs and the main policy lever behind sterling.
- 08:30 ET: USD Initial jobless claims, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Layoffs tend to show up here weeks before they reach the monthly jobs report, which is why a run of higher claims gets attention.
- 08:30 ET: USD Productivity and unit labour costs, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Output per hour and unit labour costs show whether wage growth is being matched by output or adding to costs.
- 08:50 ET: USD Cleveland Fed President Hammack speaks, medium impact (official calendar) · playbook Presidents sit on the FOMC and vote in rotation, so their read of the outlook is part of how the rate path is judged between meetings.
- 10:30 ET: USD EIA weekly natural gas storage, high impact (official calendar) · playbook Storage against the five-year average is the main weekly gauge of whether gas supply is tight or ample.
Friday, November 6
- 08:30 ET: CAD Canada Labour Force Survey (October 2026), high impact (official calendar) · playbook It is the monthly read on Canadian jobs and wages, often out the same morning as the US jobs report.
- 08:30 ET: USD Employment Situation (non-farm payrolls), high impact (official calendar) · playbook Jobs and wages are the other half of the Fed's mandate, and this is the most complete monthly read on both.
- 10:00 ET: USD University of Michigan consumer sentiment (Preliminary November; release date only; figures are the publisher's), medium impact (official calendar) · playbook It includes households' own inflation expectations, which the Fed watches for signs that expectations are drifting.